2026 SEASON // LIVE LEDGER
SEASON TRACKER
Standings. FTSB receipts. Iron Throne movement. Playoff pressure. ACT watch. This is the permanent 2026 league ledger.
2026 STANDINGS // AFTER WEEK 4
LEAGUE TABLE
No undefeated teams. No winless teams. Parity.
| Manager | W-L | STRK |
|---|---|---|
| Preach | 3-1 | L1 |
| Beans | 3-1 | W3 |
| Gator / BDR | 3-1 | L1 |
| Drag | 3-1 | W3 |
| Bug | 2-2 | W1 |
| Chan / Chabby | 2-2 | W1 |
| Tres | 1-3 | L1 |
| Bru | 1-3 | L3 |
| Herm | 1-3 | L2 |
| Houle | 1-3 | W1 |
IRON THRONE INDEX // WEEK 4
WHO SITS THE THRONE NOW?
100,000 remaining-season simulations · Playoffs · Sewer · ACT · Belt
The preseason prophecy remains frozen below. Four weeks in, the standings have compressed: four teams at 3–1, two at 2–2, four at 1–3.
Week 4 model blends current record, four-week scoring and the live roster-strength board. Remaining regular-season matchups use a balanced schedule-neutral rotation. Percentages are model estimates, not guarantees.
| RK | House | W-L | Playoffs | Sewer | ACT | 🏆 Belt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Preach | 3–1 | 98.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 28.5% |
| 2 | Beans | 3–1 | 96.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 22.3% |
| 3 | Gator / BDR | 3–1 | 94.2% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 16.9% |
| 4 | Bug | 2–2 | 86.5% | 13.5% | 0.4% | 14.5% |
| 5 | Drag | 3–1 | 86.2% | 13.8% | 0.3% | 9.4% |
| 6 | Chabby | 2–2 | 50.4% | 49.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| 7 | Tres | 1–3 | 41.2% | 58.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| 8 | Bru | 1–3 | 25.5% | 74.5% | 12.6% | 1.4% |
| 9 | Herm | 1–3 | 17.1% | 82.9% | 19.7% | 0.6% |
| 10 | Houle | 1–3 | 4.3% | 95.7% | 55.7% | 0.1% |
THE CROWN
PREACH // 28.5%
Preach still leads the Belt model despite the Houle loss. One ugly Sunday did not erase the strongest four-week scoring profile.
THE CHASE
BEANS + GATOR + BUG
Beans sits at 22.3%, Gator at 16.9%, and Bug has exploded from 3.36% preseason Belt odds to 14.5%.
HERM’S WEEKLY APPEAL // OFFICIAL RULING
17.1% Playoffs · 82.9% Sewer · 19.7% ACT · 0.6% Belt.
The court recognizes that the father of three is simply trying to feed his family. The court also recognizes that he is 1–3.
Appeal denied.
THEN vs NOW // THE SEPT. 10 PROPHECY
WHO HAS CHANGED THE MACHINE’S MIND?
| House | Preseason Belt | Week 4 Belt | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preach | 18.68% | 28.5% | +9.8 |
| Chabby | 27.66% | 3.3% | -24.4 |
| Beans | 23.15% | 22.3% | -0.9 |
| Gator / BDR | 21.74% | 16.9% | -4.8 |
| Bug | 3.36% | 14.5% | +11.1 |
| Tres | 5.09% | 3.1% | -2.0 |
| Bru | 0.27% | 1.4% | +1.1 |
| Drag | 0.04% | 9.4% | +9.4 |
| Herm | 0.01% | 0.6% | +0.6 |
| Houle | 0.00% | 0.1% | +0.1 |
Biggest risers: Bug, Preach and Drag. Biggest collapse: Chabby, from 27.66% preseason title favorite to 3.3%.
PREACHBOT v1.0 // FROZEN SEPT. 10, 2026
PRESEASON IRON THRONE RECEIPT
Opening model · preserved as a receipt
| RK | House | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beans | 100 | Crown |
| 2 | Preach | 97 | Crown |
| 3 | Chan | 96 | Crown |
| 4 | BDR | 92 | Crown |
| 5 | Bug | 76 | Hunt |
| 6 | Tres | 74 | Hunt |
| 7 | Drag | 60 | Sewer |
| 8 | JP | 56 | Sewer |
| 9 | Bru | 54 | Sewer |
| 10 | Houle | 40 | Sewer |
WEEK 1 // FINAL // FTSB RECEIPTS
RESULTS LEDGER
Frozen closing lines used for grading
| Battle | Final | Line | SU | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preach vs Herm | 192.98–113.38 | Preach -36.0 | Preach ✅ | Preach -36 ✅ |
| Houle vs Bug | 114.34–143.48 | Bug -25.5 | Bug ✅ | Bug -25.5 ✅ |
| Bru vs Beans | 114.72–114.16 | Beans -24.5 | Beans ❌ | Beans -24.5 ❌ |
| Drag vs Chan | 123.50–144.08 | Chan -21.5 | Chan ✅ | Chan -21.5 ❌ |
| BDR vs Tres | 177.90–143.96 | BDR -10.0 | BDR ✅ | Tres +10 ❌ |
PreachBot Week 1: 4–1 SU · 2–3 ATS · 0–1 Direwolf. Presser: Herm, 113.38 points.
WEEKLY RESULTS LEDGER
Scores + FTSB receipts
Each completed week adds final scores, straight-up winners, spread results and meaningful line movement.
Week 1: Preach 192.98–113.38 Herm · Bug 143.48–114.34 Houle · Bru 114.72–114.16 Beans · Chan 144.08–123.50 Drag · BDR 177.90–143.96 Tres.
IRON THRONE MOVEMENT
Who is rising? Who is sinking?
This becomes the running record of rank changes, scoring surges, losing streaks, trades and teams climbing out of — or falling into — the Sewer.
Week 2 movement: Preach and BDR are the realm’s only 2–0 houses. BDR’s 47.86-point demolition of Chan was the Direwolf hit of the week; Beans survived Bug by 3.00; Tres and Houle remain 0–2 in the Sewer.
THE SEWER // ACT WATCH
FOUR RATS. ONE ACT.
The live Week 2 ACT board now sits above. The table below remains the frozen preseason receipt; Herm’s 113.38 was the Week 1 low score and belongs to that historical record.
| House | Playoff | ACT |
|---|---|---|
| Drag | 42% | 13% |
| JP | 33% | 18% |
| Bru | 29% | 21% |
| Houle | 25% | 26% |
